It's only 18c here at the moment, and very grey. We did have heavy rain, thunder and lightening at times throughout the night so didn't get much sleep.Ā
Had to do a 10 mile diversion this morning to get to an appointment just 2 miles away. I would have walked again but it was torrential rain at the time. Roadworks everywhere with roads completely closed. One short stretch has been closed for 2 weeks! The back and shoulder massage was good however, although my right shoulder feels a bit sore now. Good excuse for not doing much!
The BBC have always bought in their weather forecasts, they don't do their own. Until relatively recently it was supplied by the Met Office, now done by commercial suppliers who will probably be buying in services from the Met Office. I know it is fashionable to blame the Beeb for everything but it isn't justified here.
Weee- we have had rain at last quite a bit of it too, much needed and a lot cooler today but house is still warm it will take several days to cool down if past heatwaves are anything to judge by. Ā On weather forecasts I really don't think the Met office could have justified spending millions on a supercomputer if there was no benefit. The problem with the TV national forecasts is that they are trying to sum up the whole country in less than 2 -3 minutes it can only be a rough guide. We did a Hot air balloon flight some years a go, they used a paid for service & it was very accurate but over a small area. F1 racingĀ teams use services that can predict rain within 10 minute time slots.Ā
In the 'good old days' the UK weather forecast was Met Office driven and typically people picked up the forecast from the news - so normally a day or so in advance - with a 5-7 day rolling forecast thrown in. That worked to a degree. Obviously the forecast wasn't always right, but you took a coat or not on that basis.
Now the forecasts (even the Met Office's) go to hourly slots AND appear to be updated every 10-15 minutes - which is great. But what it has shown is how nebulous the forecasting is. One minute it's <5% chance of rain in an hour's time - and downpours for the rest of the afternoon - thenĀ checking 15 minutes later, it's heavy rain (>50%) and then full sun for the rest of the day. So by trying to be more accurate, it becomes less helpful. What's even more disconcerting is that the Met Office's forecast doesn't marry with Accu or Meteox - so depending on which service you look at the forecast varies anyway. Is this curmudgeons' corner?
The BBC have always bought in their weather forecasts, they don't do their own. Until relatively recently it was supplied by the Met Office, now done by commercial suppliers who will probably be buying in services from the Met Office. I know it is fashionable to blame the Beeb for everything but it isn't justified here.
First time I've been accused of being fashionableĀ Ā
To be fair, it doesn't matter where the BBC is getting it from. If they broadcast it and it's a load of tosh, they've got a responsibility to get it from somewhere else instead.
To be fair to ALL forecasts. I'm sure we've all experienced situations where we've had torrential rain and it's bone dry about half a mile away, or vice versa.Ā I'm not sure just how accurate anyone thinks a forecast can be.
Hope the new quarantine rules don't cause @Busy-Lizzie any more problems. Looks like we have world beating "make it up as we go along" politicians and policies.
I have a lot to catch up on but steephill's post is where I've got to so far.
OH is in Norfolk, back in France on Wednesday so he will have to quarantine, but it probably won't make much difference, not planning on going anywhere. I will wear the obligatory mask in the SM and leave him at home.
I don't know when I'll next be able to go to England as I have to be here for the house sale.
Dordogne and Norfolk. Clay in Dordogne, sandy in Norfolk.
Caught up, mostly weatherĀ Family and family's friends have all gone. I feel washed out, not so much because of all the people but because daughter 2 doesn't want to sell this house and has let her feelings be known very strongly. I was afraid she wouldn't sign the document from the notaire, but she has. Haven't slept properly the last two nights worrying about it.
Dordogne and Norfolk. Clay in Dordogne, sandy in Norfolk.
@Busy Lizzie. I should think so too. If she loved the house so much , she had the option to buy it. A most odd system which basically leaves children in controlĀ of their parents choice of selling theirĀ home.
Totally - but it's the general feel IĀ want I think. That's why IĀ think the more accurate 'refresh every 15 minutes' forecasts don't work for me. For me, a general 'tomorrow will be largely sunny and circa 20 degrees in and around blah, with a 50% chance of a shower between 6pm and midnight' . I wonder how many people actually find the hour-by hour forecasts useful (especially when they change so much so quickly) rather than just looking out of the window?
The rain radar maps are ok from Meteox and The Met Office - so you get a general feel for 3-7 hours anyway.
Posts
Had to do a 10 mile diversion this morning to get to an appointment just 2 miles away. I would have walked again but it was torrential rain at the time. Roadworks everywhere with roads completely closed. One short stretch has been closed for 2 weeks!
The back and shoulder massage was good however, although my right shoulder feels a bit sore now. Good excuse for not doing much!
Ā On weather forecasts I really don't think the Met office could have justified spending millions on a supercomputer if there was no benefit. The problem with the TV national forecasts is that they are trying to sum up the whole country in less than 2 -3 minutes it can only be a rough guide. We did a Hot air balloon flight some years a go, they used a paid for service & it was very accurate but over a small area. F1 racingĀ teams use services that can predict rain within 10 minute time slots.Ā
To be fair, it doesn't matter where the BBC is getting it from. If they broadcast it and it's a load of tosh, they've got a responsibility to get it from somewhere else instead.
I'm not sure just how accurate anyone thinks a forecast can be.
OH is in Norfolk, back in France on Wednesday so he will have to quarantine, but it probably won't make much difference, not planning on going anywhere. I will wear the obligatory mask in the SM and leave him at home.
I don't know when I'll next be able to go to England as I have to be here for the house sale.
Family and family's friends have all gone. I feel washed out, not so much because of all the people but because daughter 2 doesn't want to sell this house and has let her feelings be known very strongly. I was afraid she wouldn't sign the document from the notaire, but she has. Haven't slept properly the last two nights worrying about it.