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AMOC Collapse and gardening

With climate change comes possible AMOC Collapse  beginning as soon as next year. What would you do as a gardener to be in a better position to meet this threat?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2024/02/09/atlantic-ocean-amoc-climate-change/
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Posts

  • FireFire Posts: 19,096
    edited 10 February
    A good question. Someone will arrive shortly to tell you that it's nothing to do with them, they don't care and it's not their responsibilty to do anything at all. They will start in on 'whataboutery'.


  • StultiStulti Posts: 90
    I was unable to gain access to the Washington Post’s article, but I have seen something about this subject in other publications. This one for example:

    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2416631-atlantic-current-shutdown-is-a-real-danger-suggests-simulation/


  • punkdocpunkdoc Posts: 15,039
    Reading the New Scientist article, I am left with the impression that this is almost totally guess work. Yes, it will be a disaster if it happens, but we really have no idea how likely it is, and if we are honest, we are probably past the point where we can do anything about it.
    How can you lie there and think of England
    When you don't even know who's in the team

    S.Yorkshire/Derbyshire border
  • Lizzie27Lizzie27 Posts: 12,494
    Very sensible viewpoint @punkdoc.
    North East Somerset - Clay soil over limestone
  • barry islandbarry island Posts: 1,847
    I'm no scientist and don't pretend to understand the ins and outs of this argument but I have watched a you tube video by the German Physicist Sabine Hossenfelder where she seems to to say that the collapse of the Gulf Stream is an impossibility. If you care to check her youtube channel out you can search for Sabine Hossenfelder, Climate change won't stop the gulf stream. Here's why.




  • KT53KT53 Posts: 9,016
    The big problem with the climate change discussion is that everybody has their own theory, and agenda, about its likely effects.  Some have a doomsday scenario whilst others say there obviously is a change in the climate but how bad it will be is not known, or knowable.
    Climate models are put together by people, and people put in the data which the models work on.  Just last week on the BBC Weather, two very different scenarios were shown for the weather pattern just a few days hence.  If the models can't agree on the very short term, the long term really is just a guess.
  • FireFire Posts: 19,096
    "It's only climate modelling" is a pretty standard shrug reponse in the playbook of people who aren't very fussed and plan to make no changes to their own lives.


    One thing I would like to see now is for people to quit moaning about 'cold summers' and too much rain. We only have the temperate advantages we have in the UK because the gulf stream is protecting us. If it moves or other climate changes hit we will "miss it when it's gone" and will hanker for the mild climate of yesteryear. Can we enjoy what we have while we have it?  We don't have much of -20C or +40C, no volcanoes, earthquakes, hurricanes or desertification. Can we take care of and protect what we have ?





  • punkdocpunkdoc Posts: 15,039
    IF, the gulf stream could collapse as early as 2025, then there is certainly nothing we can do.
    I believe in climate change, and I do what I can, but gulf stream collapse is not regarded as at all likely by many of the scientists, and I need to get on and live my life.
    How can you lie there and think of England
    When you don't even know who's in the team

    S.Yorkshire/Derbyshire border
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